The real estate market in Portland is dynamic. It’s influenced by various factors, including supply and demand, economic indicators, and shifting buyer preferences. We will dissect key statistics to offer insights into the current state of the Portland real estate market. Our analysis will encompass crucial areas, including new listings, inventory levels, closed sales, time properties spend on the market, and average and median sale prices. We will examine these data points to reveal emerging trends and provide expert predictions for the Portland real estate market. As a reminder, statistics always come out one month behind, so the current market is slightly different.
New Listings:
In May 2023, the Portland real estate market witnessed 3,240 new listings—a 15.9% decrease compared to May 2022. However, a resounding 22.1% surge was observed compared to the preceding month, April 2023. These statistics signify an upward fluctuation in the availability of homes for sale in the Portland area, indicative of both changing market conditions and shifting buyer behavior. Buyers are starting to get used to the high interest rates and are entering the market again.
Inventory in Months:
The inventory in months—an essential metric gauging housing supply relative to the current sales pace—presents a compelling narrative in the Portland real estate market. Throughout 2023, the Portland market has experienced wide fluctuations in inventory levels. In January, the Portland market had a robust 2.7 months of inventory, only to decrease to 1.6 months by March. With another rise in interest rates an upward trajectory returned, with inventory stabilizing at 1.9 months for both April and May. This signals that while the number of houses being listed has remained fairly steady through the year the changes in interest rates are directly affecting how many buyers are entering the market.
Closed Sales:
Closed sales, representing successfully concluded transactions, offer a tangible indicator of market performance in the Portland real estate market. May 2023 witnessed 2,008 closed sales in Portland, registering a 31.1% decline relative to May 2022. Yet, an astounding recovery of 17.6% was experienced when juxtaposed with April 2023. This again indicates that buyer demand is tied directly to interest rates and even the seasonal spring push can’t cause us to rebound back to 2021 and 2022 numbers.
Time on Market:
The inventory level in the Portland real estate market underscores a prevailing seller’s market, where demand outstrips supply, leading to intensified competition among buyers. However, the total market time is much higher than what is expected for a sellers market. The average days a home took to sell still decreased substantially this past month to an average of just 40 days in Portland. When compared to what we are seeing on the ground day to day, this number seems high. Many homes that are priced well and presented well are selling in a week or less. So while we know demand is there, as a seller having a real estate professional is more important than ever.
Year-to-Date Summary:
When comparing the first five months of 2023 with the same period in 2022, a slowdown in market activity emerges. New listings registered a notable decline of 23.5%. This also caused pending sales and closed sales to drop by 29.0% and 34.0%, respectively. When we consider these numbers next to the end of year numbers from 2022 we see a different story. May of 2022 was when the market notably shifted towards the downward trend. This continued into the summer before leveling out in the fall. Since the fall of 2022 we have seen a slow but steady climb in pricing, inventory and buyer demand which all point to a recovering real estate market.
Average and Median Sale Prices:
Analyzing the average and median sale prices in the Portland real estate market offers invaluable insights into the market’s overall price trajectory. Through May 2023, the average sale price in Portland decreased by 4.5%, from $615,600 to $588,200. Similarly, the median sale price had a comparable decrease of 4.4%, dropping from $549,000 to $525,000. If we compare these numbers to last month as opposed to last May we actually see an increase of 2.1% for the average and 3.8% for the median. This again points to a recovering and growing real estate market.
Conclusion:
Through an analysis of the real estate statistics, we have witnessed undeniable fluctuations in new listings, pending and closed sales, inventory levels, and average and median sale prices in the Portland real estate market. While market activity has slowed compared to the previous year, month-over-month data reflects a resilient rebound. If you are thinking of selling, personal timing matters more than anything. With home prices climbing you don’t have to have a fear of missing the top. If you are on the fence about buying, the longer you wait, the more expensive things will continue to get. Interest rates do play a huge part into what the monthly payment will be, but we don’t expect them to suddenly drop. Hopefully this information is helpful as you consider whether now is the right time to jump into the real estate market or not. If you are thinking of buying and want to know what you might qualify for, We have all our favorite lenders listed HERE. And if you are ready to start looking at homes, you can do that HERE. Wondering what your home is worth? FInd out HERE